Gujarat is likely to be hit by a hurricane, find out when and which city will be hit. This year’s first. hurricane is probable to bash the Kitch area of Gujarat on May 20. Due to the storm, winds of 30 to 40 kmph are likely to expel in Gujarat
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Tauktae is located 1159 km south- southeast of Karachi, Pakistan, and has relocated northward at 17 km/ h( 9 knots) over the once 6 hours.
Satellite imagery shows a 26 km eye currently crystallizing as the system deepens and becomes more hard. The original position is placed with high self-assurance predicated on the forenamed eye attribution and the low- position round in the compound weather radar circle from Goa, India.
breakdown shows environmental conditions strong poleward outflow, low wind shear( 5- 10 knots), and warm( 31 °C) ocean surface temperature. Tauktae will hold on on its current track over the following 36 hours along the western edge of a deep- layered tropical crest to the east.
The rapid-fire intensification( RI) will continue through the coming 12 to 24 hours, fueled by the favorable environmental conditions, reaching a peak intensity of 195 km/ h( 105 knots) by 24 hours. Afterward, it’ll move more northward and round the ridge axis before making landfall between Veraval and Mahuva, India, shortly after hours 36. later, the network will commence to weaken due to land intercourse.
After landfall, the cyclone will hastily erode as it tracks across the strong terrain, leading to dispersion by 3 days, maybe sooner. Forecast guidance has stretched in agreement with a gradual and indeed spread, now only 126 km at 36 hours and increases to a very maximum of 357 km over the following 3 days.
Track assurance remains high up to 2 days, also low confidence later as the network will be overland. The JTWC track predicting is laid narrowly to the right and a bit briskly than the model agreement after 36 hours in expectation of a more violent cyclone than what CONW suggests. Maximum significant wave height is9.4 meters( 31 feet).
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